Avalanche attempt to win season series versus Stars

Hockey Betting Lines

03/14/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Colorado Avalanche will try to win their first season series with the Dallas Stars in five campaigns as the two clubs meet for the fourth and final time in the regular season this afternoon at American Airlines Center.

Colorado took its first two meetings with the Stars this year at home before dropping a 3-2 decision in Dallas on Jan. 29. The Avalanche haven't won this season series since taking three of four in 2003-04, though the clubs have split the four-game set in each of the previous two campaigns.

The Avs, who have lost two straight and seven of their last eight in Dallas, were last in action on Thursday and posted a 3-0 victory over Florida. Craig Anderson made 27 saves versus his former club and is among the league leaders with seven shutouts. He also recorded the 14th blanking of his career while making his 22nd start in a row.

One of Anderson's seven shutouts this year came at the expense of Dallas and he is 1-1-0 with a 1.52 goals-against average in two starts versus the club this year.

Paul Stastny scored twice, Mark Hendricks had the other goal and Chris Stewart posted two assists versus the Panthers for the Avalanche, who are five points behind the Canucks for first place in the Northwest standings and rebounded from Tuesday's 6-4 loss to Vancouver in which they squandered a pair of three- goal leads.

"We've bounced back well all year," said Stastny, who has two goals and eight assists over a six-game point streak. "A couple of us had a big let down and wanted to respond, so that's what we did as a team. We played a patient game and a smart game."

Stastny isn't the only Colorado player that has played well as of late. Stewart has eight goals and 10 assists in his last 10 games, while Peter Mueller has posted a pair of tallies and five helpers in five games since being acquired from Phoenix.

While the Avalanche are still trying for a division title, the Stars have lost five of six since the Winter Olympic break to fall seven points back of the eighth spot in the West.

The Stars did earn a point last time out, falling to the Kings, 2-1, in a shootout on Friday. Marty Turco made 27 saves and stopped the first five skaters he saw in the extra session before allowing Jarret Stoll to score for Los Angeles in the sixth round.

"You know we have to gain some ground here if we want to get back in the playoffs. Unfortunately you can't do that unless you win," said Turco, who is 11-9-0 with three ties and a 2.58 GAA lifetime versus the Avalanche franchise and lost his only start against them this year. He will start for Dallas today.

Brenden Morrow notched the lone goal for the Stars, who dropped the opener of a six-game homestand for their third loss in a row at American Airlines Center.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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